Warm-Scratch
0x36d3fb734aa67946fb52445814544f90f555aedb
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$325.69
Total PnL
$-287.90
Realised
$-40.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
380 shares @ 53.4¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$127.30
$-75.50
- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?
100 shares @ 75.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$80.50
$5.50
- NO
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 66.9¢·now 65.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$65.35
$-1.55
- NO
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
110 shares @ 36.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$39.05
$-0.55
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
100 shares @ 27.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.50
$-13.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
514 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-51.87
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
510 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-16.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 15?
100 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-39.00
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
100 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-44.00
- VIT KOPRIVA
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Vit Kopriva
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 15?$75.00May 30, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$38.75May 30, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$53.84May 30, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $150M one day after launch?$8.15May 29, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $150M one day after launch?$1.04May 28, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$50.00May 28, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$71.50May 28, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $150M one day after launch?$30.40May 28, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$60.00May 27, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$23.00May 26, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$36.00May 25, 04:20 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?$60.34May 25, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$10.00May 24, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$8.10May 24, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$20.00May 24, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$50.00May 24, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$19.50May 24, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$21.74May 24, 01:31 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$22.50May 23, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$8.73May 23, 06:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $24.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 11:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 07:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".