Eminent-Rust
0x36dd401002dce15e85eda5712b5269250e1bbfcc
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
114
Open notional
$287.41
Total PnL
$-5.7K
Realised
$-51.23
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 114- NO
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
89 shares @ 59.1¢·now 82.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$73.42
$20.83
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
111 shares @ 44.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$52.92
$3.90
- OVER
Pegula vs. Eala: Match O/U 21.5
88 shares @ 56.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$43.77
$-5.25
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
65 shares @ 56.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$38.21
$1.94
- YES
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
133 shares @ 22.8¢·now 22.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$30.00
$-0.40
- YES
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?
24 shares @ 68.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$20.02
$3.91
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
22 shares @ 68.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$15.08
$-0.11
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
29 shares @ 44.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$13.99
$1.03
- NINJAS IN PYJAMAS
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner
1590 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-675.95
- NONGSHIM RED FORCE
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner
871 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-8.71
Recent activity
- REDEEMArizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians$54.88Aug 2, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5$49.16Aug 2, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLArizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians$23.53Aug 2, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)$50.01Aug 2, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5$49.66Aug 2, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians$50.73Aug 2, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMFC Volendam vs. Ajax Amsterdam: O/U 3.5$52.88Aug 2, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYPegula vs. Eala: Match O/U 21.5$50.10Aug 2, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLFC Volendam vs. Ajax Amsterdam: O/U 3.5$48.14Aug 2, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Volendam vs. Ajax Amsterdam: O/U 3.5$23.93Aug 2, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Volendam vs. Ajax Amsterdam: O/U 3.5$2.45Aug 2, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Volendam vs. Ajax Amsterdam: O/U 3.5$23.73Aug 2, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMJodar vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 22.5$16.99Aug 2, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYJodar vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 22.5$9.00Aug 2, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLJodar vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 22.5$19.42Aug 2, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYJodar vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 22.5$5.39Aug 2, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYJodar vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 22.5$15.57Aug 2, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5$50.25Aug 1, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs$94.65Jul 31, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLNew York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs$24.15Jul 31, 20:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $30.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 16:53 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 22:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.