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PoliticsMulti-outcomeExpires

Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?

Probability

29¢

1h

+0.5pp

24h

-6.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$19.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

-10.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:03
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Down 6pp over 24h

    Now 29¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 8.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Set an alert if probability recovers above 34¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -8.5pp

    to 29¢

    MEDIUM
  • 15:00Price

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 29¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 29¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 29¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 29¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -8.5pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -9.5pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -10.0pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -8.5pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Associated PressNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (8.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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