Nice-Verse
0x36f13aab6d14f47fddb9d61b42bc637bbecb406a
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$6.78
Total PnL
$-94.73
Realised
$0.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
6 shares @ 95.4¢·now 99.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.75
$0.21
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 27?
6387 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-6.39
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on February 20?
2288 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.86
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 5?
2079 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 2?
2070 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.14
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 6?
2068 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.14
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 4?
2066 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.13
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 1?
2063 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.19
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 8?
1845 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 19?$14.85Aug 18, 04:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 12?$14.03Aug 12, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 12?$13.99Aug 11, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 8?$13.50Aug 8, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 8?$13.47Aug 7, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 31?$14.03Jul 31, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 31?$13.96Jul 30, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 25?$12.78Jul 25, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 25?$12.74Jul 24, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 13?$13.95Jul 13, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 13?$13.86Jul 13, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 8?$14.23Jul 8, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 8?$14.22Jul 8, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 3?$11.29Jul 3, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 3?$11.25Jul 2, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$6.40Jun 30, 22:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $180 end of June?$5.22Jun 30, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$6.39Jun 25, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $180 end of June?$5.20Jun 20, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15?$0.04Jun 13, 03:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $3.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 13:03 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 04:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.