Overcooked-Monitoring
0x370aa6fa242db293e4adbf3f6550f253797cbaac
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$4.3K
Total PnL
$-347.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
2783 shares @ 59.3¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.3K
$617.33
- YES
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
2307 shares @ 63.6¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.9K
$412.91
- YES
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?
1153 shares @ 10.4¢·now 13.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$153.40
$33.40
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?
2719 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-596.58
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
1607 shares @ 43.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-696.92
- YES
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO in 2025?
762 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-19.80
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?
719 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-79.09
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?
100 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-18.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?$124.30Jul 26, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?$369.47Jul 3, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?$612.46Jul 3, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$1.3KJul 3, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYDan Clancy out as Twitch CEO in 2025?$19.80Dec 22, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?$135.00Dec 22, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?$130.00Dec 22, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$500.00Dec 22, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition$23.49Nov 8, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition$45.95Nov 2, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?$100.00Nov 2, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?$100.00Nov 2, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?$48.00Nov 2, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$568.13Nov 1, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$582.40Nov 1, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?$25.77Oct 30, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$332.00Oct 12, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?$41.82Oct 10, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$106.48Oct 8, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?$3.00Oct 8, 23:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $131.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 28, 15:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 21:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.