Creamy-Impostor
0x371473617d3064ed904cde2df3e90ad1e0be9ce3
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-4.78
Realised
$42.61
Win rate
100%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Trump out as President by July 31?
500 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$498.25
$-0.05
- NO
Will John Stevens win the Clacton by-election?
400 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$399.40
$0.20
- NO
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
400 shares @ 95.4¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$383.00
$1.50
- NO
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 81.7¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$240.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?
200 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$199.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?
200 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$199.10
$-0.30
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
200 shares @ 96.2¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$192.11
$-0.30
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
200 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$175.00
$1.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?
154 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$153.34
$0.15
- NO
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
82 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$81.71
$0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?$153.18Jul 25, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by July 31?$199.20Jul 25, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon SBF by July 31?$81.59Jul 25, 04:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?$47.90Jul 25, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?$28.74Jul 25, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?$195.20Jul 24, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card) AND Palermo: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Lucia Bronzetti AND Will CD Universidad Católica vs. CD La Serena end in a draw?$10.00Jul 24, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?$199.00Jul 24, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampere: Henri Squire vs Otto Virtanen AND UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card) AND Palermo: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Lucia Bronzetti$10.00Jul 24, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?$199.40Jul 24, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?$194.80Jul 24, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon SBF by July 31?$298.80Jul 24, 02:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?$80.00Jul 23, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?$12.11Jul 23, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Stevens win the Clacton by-election?$399.20Jul 23, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by July 31?$299.10Jul 23, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon SBF by July 31?$298.50Jul 23, 18:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $134.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 17:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 08:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.