Mad-Duration
0x374eeae580c86ca69f9ea4ae25e1cfe872a980eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-224.95
Realised
$46.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1250 shares @ 38.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$631.25
$156.25
- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
397 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$264.01
$-1.98
- YES
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?
29982 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$194.88
$6.90
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1450 shares @ 42.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$166.75
$-442.25
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
159 shares @ 61.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$96.20
$-0.79
- YES
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
10224 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$66.46
$10.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$98.13Jun 14, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$268.63Jun 14, 16:09 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.80Jun 1, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?$190.40May 31, 08:15 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.76May 23, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$148.57May 22, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.00May 22, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.00May 22, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.11May 22, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$8.82May 22, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00May 22, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.49May 22, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$125.00May 13, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$584.14May 9, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$623.13May 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.19Apr 7, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.31Apr 7, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.59Apr 6, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.37Apr 6, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.85Apr 6, 16:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $44.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 17:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 16:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.