Bite-Sized-Metronome
0x3762dbf17c21548f4d82737f67165a9209517ff4
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$2.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
1358 shares @ 77.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- NO
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
599 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-437.34
- NO
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
63 shares @ 81.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-51.60
- NO
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
60 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-39.00
- NO
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?
53 shares @ 75.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will Larry Page be named in newly released Epstein files?
23 shares @ 87.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Mar 22, 00:29 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$113.20Mar 21, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$73.52Mar 21, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?$69.37Mar 21, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine Peace Parlay$60.78Mar 21, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?$0.00Mar 21, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?$39.40Mar 21, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?$4.40Mar 21, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$1.23Mar 21, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$55.38Mar 21, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?$4.64Mar 21, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?$133.23Mar 21, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?$209.86Mar 21, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$257.91Mar 21, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election held by December 31, 2026?$11.27Mar 21, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$48.78Mar 21, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$100.00Mar 21, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?$115.08Mar 21, 11:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 21, 00:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 20, 00:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $79.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 00:36 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 00:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.