Personal-Speculation
0x3767c2a5111f29d604d0d118e8761e4f35fb5e7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$434.93
Total PnL
$20.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
250 shares @ 44.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$108.74
$-1.25
- NO
Will Estêvão be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
100 shares @ 89.5¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$97.90
$8.40
- NO
Will Richarlison be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
100 shares @ 95.0¢·now 89.2¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$89.20
$-5.80
- YES
Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
100 shares @ 49.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$69.49
$20.49
- YES
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
57 shares @ 82.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$48.50
$1.99
- NO
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$9.98
$0.38
- NO
Anthropic CEO arrested?
10 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.86
$0.35
- YES
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
10 shares @ 14.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.25
$-0.15
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
20 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$0.30May 13, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$49.00May 12, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$42.70May 12, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$41.71May 12, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$1.29May 12, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayan be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$24.00May 12, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?$3.52May 12, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?$4.56May 11, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Richarlison be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$0.19May 8, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?$18.22May 8, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?$23.91May 8, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Estêvão be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$89.78May 8, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Richarlison be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$94.81May 8, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the fight be won by submission?$0.00Mar 20, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 324: Figueiredo vs. Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Prelims)$0.00Mar 20, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 20, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMFight to Go the Distance?$0.00Mar 20, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 20, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Secret Agent win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 20, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 20, 09:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $14.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 03:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 07:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".