0x377772769fb51cf555eefa15c40b3629688be85b
0x377772769fb51cf555eefa15c40b3629688be85b
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$58.39
Total PnL
$2.19
Realised
$0.31
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
8 shares @ 61.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$8.10
$3.09
- HORNETS
Hornets vs. Grizzlies
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$5.45
$2.45
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
5 shares @ 66.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$5.28
$1.78
- YES
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$4.55
$3.55
- PATRIOTS
Patriots vs. Broncos
4 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$4.41
$1.41
- YES
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.23
$1.23
- YES
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.06
$1.38
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
4 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$3.73
$0.75
- NO
Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime Touchdown
3 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$3.17
$1.17
- YES
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?
3 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$2.78
$0.78
Recent activity
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.09Mar 28, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.00Mar 28, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - March 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$1.00Mar 26, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$1.00Mar 26, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 16-22?$1.00Mar 22, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$1.00Mar 20, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Celtics (-20.5)$0.96Mar 14, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Celtics (-20.5)$2.45Mar 14, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$1.00Mar 9, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$1.00Mar 9, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - February 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$1.11Mar 1, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$1.00Mar 1, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.99Feb 28, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.00Feb 28, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$1.00Feb 24, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$1.00Feb 22, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$1.00Feb 22, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$1.00Feb 21, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$1.00Feb 21, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$1.00Feb 21, 23:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 02:52 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 14:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.