Small-Lecture
0x378b8266535cfe6482418d6ccc286e3452abcaff
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$-19.51
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
2404 shares @ 80.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- NO
Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
1203 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-299.64
- NO
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
305 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.79
- YES
Will Trump say "Lincoln" during the State of the Union address?
234 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-91.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during the State of the Union address?
152 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-48.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" during the State of the Union address?
140 shares @ 35.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Canada" during the State of the Union address?
132 shares @ 75.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Monroe" during the State of the Union address?
70 shares @ 28.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
40 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-11.13
- PISTONS
Pistons vs. Bucks
24 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$219.89Apr 7, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$200.00Apr 7, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?$43.50Apr 7, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$406.26Apr 7, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$579.48Apr 7, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?$40.00Apr 6, 23:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$619.48Apr 5, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$279.03Apr 3, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$201.00Apr 2, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$125.61Apr 2, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$116.50Mar 31, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$99.43Mar 25, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$120.00Mar 18, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$219.42Mar 16, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$207.66Mar 14, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?$37.83Mar 4, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$169.83Mar 4, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$21.31Feb 27, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$11.00Feb 27, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$29.73Feb 27, 21:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $173.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 04:21 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 22:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".