PoliticsMulti-outcomeExpires May 26, 2026

Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?

Probability

90¢

-1.6pp

24h

+0.4pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$20.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

+1.8pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 07:00Apr 25, 2026, 04:35

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 739.4h
LOW
04:35Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 739h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
16:00Price
Probability down -3.6pp
to 92¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability down -3.8pp
to 91¢
MEDIUM
07:00Price
Probability down -4.2pp
to 90¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -4.7pp
to 92¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -5.8pp
to 91¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 3.1pp
to 93¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 3.3pp
to 92¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventTX-19 Republican Primary Winner

Category · Politics

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: May 26, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not specified in metadata
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Wide spread (6.1¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

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