Unknown-Cartilage
0x37998ed0fee741afa26210c8658089fa7812bdd3
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-21.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
4640 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- NO
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?
960 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair before May 15?
48 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
22 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.72
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
11 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?$0.00Apr 25, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?$1.70Apr 24, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair before May 15?$1.00Apr 24, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 24, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 24, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 24, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 24, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$5.00Apr 24, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?$1.00Apr 24, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?$1.00Apr 24, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$7.67Apr 24, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$5.00Apr 24, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$7.35Apr 24, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$5.00Apr 24, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$5.00Apr 24, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?$5.00Apr 24, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$9.28Apr 24, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$5.00Apr 24, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$0.00Apr 24, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$5.00Apr 24, 16:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $5.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 07:44 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 14:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.