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OtherExpires Apr 30, 2026

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?

Probability

100¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$2.5M

Liquidity

$1.3M

Probability (last 7 days)

+92.8pp 7d
Apr 17, 2026, 19:00Apr 24, 2026, 18:08
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Without an Anthropic API key we show a heuristic summary derived from the market metrics.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 125.9h

    LOW
  • 18:08Signal

    Signal · Clustered NO flow

    25 trades ($5,882) aligned on NO across 22 wallets in the last 30 min.

    HIGH
  • 18:08Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 126h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 18:07Trade

    Motionless-Artifact · SELL YES $5.3K

    @ 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 3.4pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 46.4pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 59.2pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 59.4pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 67.8pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 66.4pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 19:00Price

    Probability up 67.5pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 66.8pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 69.3pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 69.5pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 73.6pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 61.8pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 55.2pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 55.6pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 47.2pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 45.8pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 48.2pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 40.2pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 59.7pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 63.2pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 62.5pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 60.4pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 57.5pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 57.5pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 57.5pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 57.6pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

25
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

9
Same eventU.S. forces seize another oil tanker by...?
Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize an oil tanker or any other ship actively transporting oil between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. government forces refer to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors. Seizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
Resolution source
UMA status
disputed
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: disputed
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the market rules.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets
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