Lean-Grasshopper
0x379b2388f55951d2817bbd525d956a6e13faa5d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-232.74
Realised
$-25.25
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
224 shares @ 55.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-125.00
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
87 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
69 shares @ 45.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-31.23
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
22 shares @ 49.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
22 shares @ 46.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- CARLOS ALCARAZ
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner
20 shares @ 52.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$32.09May 16, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$25.82May 13, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$103.03May 13, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$9.00May 13, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$7.30May 13, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$32.47May 13, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$25.40May 13, 21:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$0.00May 13, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$12.68May 13, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$5.21May 13, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMHarry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer$17.24May 6, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$20.46May 6, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer$10.13May 6, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$10.39May 1, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$25.00May 1, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$10.43May 1, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$17.86Apr 30, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$10.32Apr 29, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$13.37Apr 29, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$10.19Apr 29, 21:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $62.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 06:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 20:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.