Joyous-Lecture
0x37a583ec895f7662d9ad272fa8e2992de474000d
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-107.48
Realised
$-0.54
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 12?
7600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 13?
7600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 13?
7600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 10°C on April 15?
6858 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 11°C on April 15?
5592 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 13?
2697 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 13?
2535 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 13?
2527 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 13?
2043 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on April 13?
1899 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?$0.00Jul 1, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 18?$0.00Apr 18, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 18?$1.39Apr 18, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 18?$0.30Apr 18, 04:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 18?$0.42Apr 18, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 18?$0.81Apr 18, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 18?$8.00Apr 18, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 18?$1.40Apr 18, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$5.31Apr 18, 01:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 13?$0.00Apr 14, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 11°C on April 15?$8.00Apr 14, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 10°C on April 15?$8.00Apr 14, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?$7.56Apr 14, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?$8.00Apr 14, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 13?$0.00Apr 13, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 13?$17.98Apr 13, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 13?$0.00Apr 13, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 13?$0.00Apr 13, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 13?$0.00Apr 13, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 13?$0.00Apr 13, 05:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $3.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 03:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 08:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.