0x37b299c9af12d3d137c9aded49c45248b1e1f4bf
0x37b299c9af12d3d137c9aded49c45248b1e1f4bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$105.50
Total PnL
$-767.85
Realised
$-61.12
Win rate
15%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 1?
11 shares @ 27.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$10.68
$7.77
- NO
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?
10 shares @ 96.9¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.31
$-0.37
- CHELSEA FC
Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)
7 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$7.45
$0.22
- NO
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?
7 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.28
$0.25
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
7 shares @ 94.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.27
$0.27
- NO
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?
7 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.2¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$7.22
$0.11
- NO
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
7 shares @ 94.8¢·now 83.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$6.14
$-0.84
- NO
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.28
$0.27
- NO
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$5.26
$0.32
- NO
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.06
$0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBill Clinton divorce by June 30?$4.99Apr 25, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.00Apr 25, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 26?$0.88Apr 25, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$5.00Apr 25, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.99Apr 25, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$4.94Apr 25, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?$5.00Apr 25, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?$4.97Apr 25, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)$5.00Apr 25, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$2.00Apr 25, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.00Apr 25, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?$2.04Apr 25, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?$2.14Apr 25, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)$2.24Apr 25, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 3°C on February 26?$0.00Apr 24, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 52°F or higher on February 26?$0.00Apr 24, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on February 26?$0.00Apr 24, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on February 26?$0.00Apr 24, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 1?$0.00Apr 24, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 3°C on February 26?$0.00Apr 24, 19:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $3.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 16:36 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 06:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.