Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)
Probability
2¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.7pp
24h Vol
$15.48
Liquidity
$1.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
-8.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 2¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $1.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 22:01SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 14:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 8h ago
Price movement
-1.7pp over the last 24h, now 2¢.
Biggest hourly move: -6.9pp at 2d ago (to 4¢).
Show 7 hourly moves
- 2d ago · -6.9pp → 4¢
- 2d ago · -6.9pp → 4¢
- 2d ago · -6.3pp → 4¢
- 2d ago · -6.6pp → 4¢
- 2d ago · -6.3pp → 4¢
- 2d ago · -6.2pp → 4¢
- 2d ago · -6.3pp → 4¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming FA Cup game, scheduled for April 25 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Leeds United FC" if Leeds United FC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Chelsea FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on thefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.