Neat-Icecream
0x37b5117714d753ae60289c1d61b8db8564780eea
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$9.59
Total PnL
$-2.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.82
$0.82
- YES
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- NO
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.72
$0.72
- NO
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.72
$0.56
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- NO
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- NO
S&P 500 (SPX) opening price Up or Down on January 5?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the SPX opening price on January 5 be between 6,721.30 and 6,789.89?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
4 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUY5kt meteor strike in 2026?$1.16Jan 15, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMajor meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?$1.00Jan 15, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 15, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$1.00Jan 15, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.00Jan 15, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 14?$1.41Jan 15, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$3.13Jan 15, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$3.00Jan 14, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.90Jan 14, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?$0.95Jan 14, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?$0.96Jan 14, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 14?$1.00Jan 14, 13:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.28Jan 14, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$0.37Jan 14, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYViktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 12, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?$1.00Jan 12, 17:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?$1.43Jan 12, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$3.00Jan 12, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in 2026?$0.99Jan 12, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?$2.09Jan 12, 16:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 20:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 13:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".