Equal-Hull
0x37b8f7d66a2b474e21ce1d8750f332c6e7069db4
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$22.81
Total PnL
$-66.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
50 shares @ 30.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-09?
8 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$8.06
$3.06
- YES
FDA approves UX111?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- REASON
Counter-Strike: Copenhagen Wolves vs Reason
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play in FIFA Club World Cup?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
18 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump attend the 2025 MLB World Series Finals?
16 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$5.06Jul 6, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?$1.03Jul 6, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-06?$3.06Jul 6, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$1.02Jul 6, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2.25Jul 6, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-24?$6.67Jul 6, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by June 30?$7.02Jul 6, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$2.02Jun 24, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-24?$5.04Jun 24, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?$1.02Jun 24, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?$1.02Jun 24, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeneva Open, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miguel Damas$1.02May 16, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$2.30May 16, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMUS recession in 2025?$3.33May 16, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$15.00May 16, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$4.00May 16, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2.00May 16, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$5.24May 16, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$2.00Dec 27, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Levante UD win on 2025-12-14?$1.00Dec 27, 16:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $2.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 11, 08:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 06:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.