Barren-Warlord
0x37c7b322adc53f5d6f9ffad5df4912b2beb9100c
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$9.75
Total PnL
$-17.59
Realised
$44.14
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?
22 shares @ 26.6¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$4.53
$-1.22
- NO
Will there be more than 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?
5 shares @ 86.5¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$3.97
$-0.02
- YES
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
31 shares @ 6.3¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.25
$-0.73
- NO
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
107 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.42
- YES
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
75 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
42 shares @ 44.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-18.86
- YES
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
26 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.87
- NO
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
25 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.27
- YES
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
21 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
19 shares @ 43.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-8.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?$2.08Jul 14, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?$1.82Jul 14, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?$2.07Jul 14, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?$11.64Jul 14, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?$5.04Jul 14, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?$2.01Jul 14, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?$2.00Jul 14, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?$2.43Jul 13, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?$10.81Jul 12, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?$2.01Jul 11, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?$2.01Jul 11, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$1.67Jul 9, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$4.68Jul 9, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?$2.04Jul 9, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?$2.05Jul 8, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?$2.05Jul 7, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?$2.08Jul 7, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?$2.04Jul 7, 00:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?$45.21Jul 6, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?$15.13Jul 6, 06:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
86% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $3.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 00:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 08:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.