Optimistic-Fold
0x37d4c9e57548ba74fd0aa3fa9ccc583a7ebb3f2c
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$149.79
Total PnL
$-0.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?
51 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$50.05
$0.05
- NO
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
53 shares @ 93.8¢·now 93.8¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$50.02
$0.03
- NO
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's US Open?
51 shares @ 97.7¢·now 97.2¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$49.72
$-0.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?$33.21Jun 2, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?$10.51Jun 2, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?$6.26Jun 1, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYStandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?$3.06May 30, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's US Open?$16.31May 29, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's US Open?$33.70May 29, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?$37.20May 29, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?$6.75May 27, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?$4.76May 27, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?$4.80May 27, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?$34.33May 27, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?$9.73May 27, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLTaiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?$46.82May 27, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?$50.06May 25, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$48.97May 20, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?$51.16May 19, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?$45.43May 18, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$40.37May 8, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.14May 8, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$5.65May 8, 07:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $26.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 13:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 18:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.