Impish-Baker
0x38096874f8cd54efe5127e408ad5bebaebc6a276
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$108.27
Total PnL
$-505.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14?
108 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$108.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
6650 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-6.65
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14?
627 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.51
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 14?
513 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.62
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
435 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.09
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
339 shares @ 76.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-258.77
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
171 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-35.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
155 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-97.34
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
140 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
98 shares @ 98.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-96.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14?$108.02Jun 14, 04:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$106.20Jun 14, 04:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.62Jun 2, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.32Jun 2, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$106.02Jun 1, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$109.09Jun 1, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$108.05May 22, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 18?$100.60May 22, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 18?$100.03May 17, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$107.29May 17, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$106.00May 13, 05:16 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$105.92May 13, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$102.00May 10, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?$102.77May 10, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?$100.00May 8, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$100.10May 8, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$99.81May 4, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$37.34Apr 22, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$7.00Apr 22, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$2.20Apr 18, 17:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $109.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 13:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 04:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.