Numb-Menorah
0x3823807e31ab1720c8479dcbd123ef1e4b2f1140
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$260.27
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-9.92
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
193 shares @ 84.9¢·now 90.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$173.70
$9.91
- NO
Will Claude go down 3-5 times in May?
59 shares @ 85.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$58.41
$8.41
- YES
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
461 shares @ 4.3¢·now 5.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.82
$2.82
- YES
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
288 shares @ 3.7¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.33
$-5.47
- NO
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
1100 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-737.27
- YES
Will Trump meet with Kaja Kallas in January 2026?
1012 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.10
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
808 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.97
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
808 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.50
- NO
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?
798 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-101.80
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
587 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-29.50
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.62May 15, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 3-5 times in May?$50.30May 13, 07:55 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.37May 12, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$153.92May 6, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$10.79May 6, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026?$5.19May 5, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026?$139.33May 3, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026?$28.94May 2, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026?$61.20May 2, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026?$8.00May 2, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026?$16.00May 2, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 4–May 10, 2026?$5.86May 2, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $40M committed to the Printr public sale?$111.44May 1, 14:17 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.72Apr 30, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $40M committed to the Printr public sale?$52.02Apr 28, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?$140.85Apr 25, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?$30.00Apr 23, 12:55 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.20Apr 23, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude go down 6-8 times in April?$319.94Apr 21, 06:00 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.37Apr 18, 00:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $84.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 17:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".