That-Macadamia
0x3825180182703613f3619d4611890c5b655504e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$62.9K
Total PnL
$-18.2K
Realised
$-309.05
Win rate
57%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
9524 shares @ 67.6¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.0K
$1.6K
- NO
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
4242 shares @ 96.4¢·now 98.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.2K
$105.49
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
4261 shares @ 61.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$4.2K
$1.6K
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3955 shares @ 86.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.9K
$510.77
- NO
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
2295 shares @ 87.1¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.3K
$275.55
- NO
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
2143 shares @ 80.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.1K
$392.06
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
1503 shares @ 90.7¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$20.68
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1100 shares @ 91.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.1K
$87.03
- NO
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1050 shares @ 95.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.0K
$29.36
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1037 shares @ 96.4¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$25.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?$66.04Jun 14, 05:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$143.82Jun 13, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by June 12?$120.00Jun 13, 09:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$40.00Jun 12, 22:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?$205.00Jun 12, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$410.25Jun 12, 18:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$1.5KJun 12, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$139.99Jun 12, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$159.99Jun 12, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by June 11?$80.00Jun 12, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?$690.35Jun 12, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close its airspace by June 11?$20.00Jun 12, 09:29 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.52Jun 12, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.95Jun 11, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$1.15Jun 11, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$14.98Jun 11, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$17.72Jun 11, 21:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $7.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 20:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 05:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.