Lustrous-Costume
0x3833e9d4f5066a00b2b44792ab2d8c89c29fcc82
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$498.70
Total PnL
$-29.73
Realised
$0.34
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 69°F or below on April 20?
200 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$200.00
$18.00
- NO
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
114 shares @ 87.4¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$110.15
$10.15
- NO
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 89.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$98.05
$9.05
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
100 shares @ 82.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$90.50
$8.50
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 11?
1157 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-16.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 11?
1000 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 13?
921 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-25.77
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 11?
20 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-11.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
10 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 69°F or below on April 20?$35.29Apr 19, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 69°F or below on April 20?$16.19Apr 19, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 69°F or below on April 20?$91.00Apr 18, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 69°F or below on April 20?$39.52Apr 18, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 17?$0.00Apr 18, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?$0.00Apr 18, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$0.00Apr 18, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?$0.00Apr 18, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 10?$0.00Apr 18, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.00Apr 18, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 13?$0.00Apr 18, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 42-43°F on March 17?$149.99Apr 18, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 42-43°F on March 17?$19.46Mar 17, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 17?$15.01Mar 17, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 17?$2.50Mar 17, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on March 17?$223.00Mar 17, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 17?$4.92Mar 17, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 17?$0.16Mar 17, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 17?$1.42Mar 17, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 17?$1.39Mar 17, 03:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $18.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 02:51 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 04:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.