Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?

1. 1

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 5984h with open resolution ambiguity.

2. 2

   Thin liquidity

   Only $18.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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Ramzan Kadyrov is currently serving as the Head of the Chechen Republic, the highest political office of the Chechen Republic, a Republic of Russia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ramzan Kadyrov ceases to be Head of the Chechen Republic for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ramzan Kadyrov will be considered to cease being the Head of the Chechen Republic if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Head of the Chechen Republic within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chechen Republic and the Russian Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.