Loyal-Archrival
0x383bcb7fd743088589c5fa761481f5117591f075
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$23.56
Total PnL
$-131.15
Realised
$2.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 18?
98 shares @ 17.8¢·now 18.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$18.06
$0.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 18?
20 shares @ 27.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$5.50
$0.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 27?
290 shares @ 35.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-102.08
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
66 shares @ 39.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-26.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 13?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 18?$4.32May 17, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 18?$11.65May 17, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 18?$1.70May 17, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 18?$3.70May 17, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 18?$1.43May 17, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$20.84May 14, 11:27 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$2.00May 14, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$2.00May 14, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$24.48May 12, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 13?$5.19May 12, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$29.14May 10, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$29.61May 5, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?$200.72Dec 19, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?$202.86Dec 19, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$202.86Dec 19, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$205.53Dec 19, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$205.53Dec 18, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$221.97Dec 11, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$26.33Oct 30, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$25.18Oct 30, 07:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $53.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 12, 09:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 16:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".