Carefree-Tractor
0x384fee5d3ad07da6b66b674c1fd8477d049d3927
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$43.03
Total PnL
$-37.64
Realised
$0.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
18 shares @ 87.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.89
$1.23
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
16 shares @ 72.5¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.00
$2.40
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?
6 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$6.00
$0.30
- NO
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?
5 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$5.00
$1.70
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 44.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.14
$-4.14
- NO
Ethereum all time high before October?
50 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?
8 shares @ 65.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Bitcoin all time high in May?
5 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$5.76Jan 27, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$5.84Jan 26, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$6.96Jan 26, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$8.70Jan 26, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?$0.00Jan 26, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMLighter FDV above $4B one day after launch?$9.00Jan 26, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMLighter FDV above $5B one day after launch?$30.00Jan 26, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?$3.30Jan 25, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?$5.70Jan 5, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?$5.28Dec 31, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter FDV above $4B one day after launch?$8.37Dec 30, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter FDV above $5B one day after launch?$14.36Dec 30, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter FDV above $5B one day after launch?$14.40Dec 30, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?$16.50Oct 11, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana all time high before 2026?$35.00Oct 11, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high before October?$30.00Jul 20, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana all time high before 2026?$35.00Jul 20, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?$15.00Jul 19, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high in May?$4.43May 6, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by June 30?$5.00May 6, 11:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $11.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 16, 04:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 00:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.