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CryptoExpires Jan 1, 2027

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Probability

21¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$554.63

Liquidity

$39.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+2.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 11:54
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 6017.1h

    LOW
  • 11:54Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 6017h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Jan 1, 2027
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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