Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Probability
21¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$554.63
Liquidity
$39.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+2.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6017.1h
- 11:54SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6017h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 22¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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