Impressionable-Speed
0x3853bdfb8c3a7493b86bb63b3c27574d91bf4ba8
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$43.16
Total PnL
$-46.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on June 22?
44 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.1¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$43.16
$-0.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 3?
65 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- YES
Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
61 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?
52 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.13
- NO
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?
46 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.79
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
38 shares @ 94.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-35.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
29 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on June 22?$43.47Jun 22, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 9?$17.00Jun 9, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 9?$16.17Jun 8, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 3?$0.29Jun 2, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 3?$0.32Jun 2, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 3?$0.84Jun 2, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?$0.20Jun 2, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?$0.86Jun 2, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?$1.12Jun 2, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$20.00May 27, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?$1.88May 26, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$35.90May 25, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$19.30May 25, 07:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or higher on May 23?$27.00May 24, 00:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$30.00May 23, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or higher on May 23?$26.43May 22, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?$0.00May 21, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$2.01May 21, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?$2.94May 18, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?$1.63May 18, 08:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $23.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 01:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 04:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.