Important-Barn
0x386819f3c86b123f6c42a874331dedcd3a9e5683
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
115
Open notional
$94.89
Total PnL
$-200.0K
Realised
$-71.2K
Win rate
28%
40 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 115- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
63 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$63.29
$13.29
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 73.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.68
$1.68
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?
6 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$6.41
$1.41
- NO
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
6 shares @ 85.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.83
$0.83
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.49
$0.49
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
5 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.19
$0.19
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
2956218 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-17.3K
- YES
Will Ugo Humbert win the 2025 US Open?
258681 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-4.1K
- YES
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2025 US Open?
258681 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-4.1K
- YES
Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2025 US Open?
257557 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-4.1K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$50.00May 27, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$5.00May 5, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$5.04May 5, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?$5.03May 5, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?$5.08May 5, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$3.52May 5, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$5.81May 5, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$7.69May 5, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$7.95May 5, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$3.33Apr 25, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$7.00Apr 25, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$7.00Apr 25, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$7.00Apr 25, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 10?$1.00Apr 25, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$1.03Apr 25, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$3.02Apr 25, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$3.02Apr 25, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5.38Apr 25, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMUS/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?$10.00Apr 25, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$1.00Mar 9, 23:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $5.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 09:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 09:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 40 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".