Overcooked-Eyestrain
0x386a3458c1cec193146b4b0a279bd59c90dc1151
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$45.95
Total PnL
$-5.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Laura Evans win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
16 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$15.94
$-0.06
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
15 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$15.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
15 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
4 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Laura Evans win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?$16.01Jun 19, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$15.01Jun 19, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$15.01Jun 19, 23:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$15.92Jun 19, 23:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$30.12Jun 19, 23:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$16.00Jun 14, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$30.00Jun 14, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?$2.05Jun 14, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$20.04Jun 14, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?$28.17Jun 14, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$3.52Jun 12, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?$28.00Jun 12, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$20.00Jun 12, 00:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$14.98Jun 12, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$14.95Jun 12, 00:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $19.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 14:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.