Elastic-Banquette
0x386f84a1684b46e99b488a1f45b5f97e93c3db83
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$32.01
Realised
$283.63
Win rate
100%
51 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get 59 million or more views on day 4?
3561 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.95
- MARTIN
Set 1 Winner: Martin vs Mena
2600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 2 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?
2070 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.82
- NO
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
1981 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- NO
T20 International Diamond Premier League: India (Idpl) vs Hong Kong (Idpl) - Team Top Batter India (Idpl) Winner
1976 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 leading at halftime?
1932 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will "Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba Infinity Castle" win Film of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
1877 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.97
- NO
Will Inter Kashi FC win on 2026-02-28?
1861 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?
1629 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- AVANESYAN
Set 1 Winner: Ortenzi vs Avanesyan
1603 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYB36 Torshavn vs. AB Argir: 2nd Half O/U 0.5$0.46Jul 28, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYB36 Torshavn vs. AB Argir: B36 Torshavn O/U 0.5$0.01Jul 28, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYB36 Torshavn vs. AB Argir: O/U 0.5$0.02Jul 28, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYB36 Torshavn vs. AB Argir: O/U 5.5$0.07Jul 28, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYB36 Torshavn vs. AB Argir: O/U 5.5$0.20Jul 28, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYB36 Torshavn vs. AB Argir: O/U 5.5$0.29Jul 28, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLB36 Torshavn vs. AB Argir: O/U 0.5$1.15Jul 28, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYB36 Torshavn vs. AB Argir: O/U 0.5$0.15Jul 28, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on July 29?$0.04Jul 28, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$0.57Jul 28, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?$1.98Jul 28, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?$0.78Jul 28, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bradley Barcola join Bayern Munich?$0.05Jul 28, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bradley Barcola join Bayern Munich?$0.07Jul 28, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bradley Barcola join Bayern Munich?$0.05Jul 28, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bradley Barcola join Real Madrid?$0.16Jul 28, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bradley Barcola join Chelsea?$0.05Jul 28, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLKuwait Kerala Premier League T20: Palakad Patriots vs Blasters Cochin$4.93Jul 28, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?$0.70Jul 28, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLFrench election called by July 31, 2026?$0.04Jul 28, 09:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 51 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 21/100.
51 closed markets, 100% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 07:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 19:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 51 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.