Will "Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba Infinity Castle" win Film of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
Probability
54¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$46.45
Liquidity
$2.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
-6.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 661.9h
- 10:05SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 662h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 53¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 53¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 54¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 54¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 54¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 54¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 59¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 61¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 54¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 62¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 60¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
The 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards are scheduled to occur in Japan on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Film of the Year Award at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards and the official Crunchyroll website (https://www.crunchyroll.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 23, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).