0x3872c6354f1c4c118f367acfe702ad99d48cbb1d
0x3872c6354f1c4c118f367acfe702ad99d48cbb1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$104.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
867 shares @ 26.0¢·now 25.8¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$223.24
$-2.17
- NO
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
867 shares @ 18.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$160.37
$4.33
- YES
Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?
258 shares @ 24.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$145.79
$83.85
- YES
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
562 shares @ 21.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$131.96
$14.04
- NO
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?
428 shares @ 25.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Aug 26, 2026$109.14
$2.14
- YES
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
507 shares @ 20.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$108.97
$7.60
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
72 shares @ 67.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$55.19
$7.17
- YES
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
253 shares @ 19.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$49.30
$1.26
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?
63 shares @ 76.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$49.30
$1.26
- NO
Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?
133 shares @ 38.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$48.57
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?$25.00Jul 30, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?$50.00Jul 30, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Akamai Techs (AKAM) beat quarterly earnings?$3.80Jul 30, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?$5.80Jul 30, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?$0.62Jul 30, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?$0.92Jul 30, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?$14.51Jul 30, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?$1.94Jul 30, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Akamai Techs (AKAM) beat quarterly earnings?$1.38Jul 30, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?$2.38Jul 30, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?$11.63Jul 30, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$1.00Jul 30, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 7%?$0.35Jul 30, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scott Timko win the special election to fill the Pennsylvania House of Representatives District 12 seat?$3.68Jul 30, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?$2.43Jul 30, 00:47 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$7.39Jul 30, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?$2.64Jul 30, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?$13.23Jul 30, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?$2.31Jul 30, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$97.02Jul 30, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $14.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 15:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 02:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.