Gentle-Township
0x388cceebebc090686dbcc237a2c4f3225d65526f
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
66
Open notional
$282.87
Total PnL
$-90.34
Realised
$195.32
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
280 shares @ 84.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$242.60
$7.01
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
424 shares @ 9.4¢·now 6.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$29.02
$-10.98
- YES
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?
150 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$11.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?
127 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-26.67
- UP
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
108 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?
86 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
82 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-39.36
- YES
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?
65 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?$12.33Jun 21, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?$182.61Jun 21, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?$27.30Jun 21, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?$127.17Jun 21, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?$10.71Jun 21, 02:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?$143.80Jun 21, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?$70.02Jun 21, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$70.11Jun 21, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$9.34Jun 21, 01:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?$76.45Jun 20, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?$13.34Jun 20, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$6.16Jun 20, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$95.96Jun 20, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$67.01Jun 20, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?$12.31Jun 20, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$79.33Jun 20, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$46.64Jun 20, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-20?$13.31Jun 20, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?$59.94Jun 20, 05:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $30.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 20:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 11:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.