Wallet digest

active

Activity score

36/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$3.08

Total PnL

$-146.86

Realised

$-13.31

Win rate

3 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 14

YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027
$3.08
$0.08
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET
430 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026
$0.00
$-25.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
287 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026
$0.00
$-34.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
202 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026
$0.00
$-25.00
YES
Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
143 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-2.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET
106 shares @ 23.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026
$0.00
$-25.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
YES
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?
63 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-2.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
48 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$2.03May 31, 21:52 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$6.54May 31, 21:52 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$14.29May 31, 21:52 UTC
TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$3.05May 31, 21:52 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.07May 31, 14:54 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1.03May 31, 14:50 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1.03May 31, 14:50 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1.03May 31, 14:50 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1.03May 31, 14:50 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$0.03May 31, 14:48 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.00May 31, 14:48 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.00May 31, 14:48 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$2.58May 31, 14:46 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.02May 31, 14:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.05May 31, 14:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.02May 31, 14:45 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$0.00May 31, 14:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$1.07May 31, 14:44 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$1.67May 31, 14:44 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$10.50May 31, 14:41 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity63 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence10 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry14 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk69 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 43
Avg trade size: $2.07
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: May 31, 02:38 UTC
Last active: May 31, 21:52 UTC
Win rate sample: 3 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 16:14:49 UTC·src:Polymarket Data