Spicy-Installation
0x38a3bb6b625a46675ef90336e2a4e3c1eb21689a
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$43.03
Total PnL
$0.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$9.96Apr 22, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?$100.10Apr 22, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$33.00Mar 28, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?$100.00Mar 28, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.33Mar 28, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$50.10Mar 28, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$101.10Mar 28, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$101.00Feb 15, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$10.03Feb 15, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$35.07Feb 15, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$40.08Feb 15, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.29Jan 20, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$50.00Jan 20, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$40.00Jan 20, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$35.00Jan 20, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$10.00Jan 20, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.03Jan 20, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?$31.06Jan 20, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMLighter Airdrop on December 23?$50.05Jan 20, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$69.21Jan 20, 09:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $207.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 15, 08:25 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 07:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.