Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$246.1K
Liquidity
$1.4M
Probability (last 7 days)
-0.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Light volume — move on a thin book
Only $246.1k traded against $1.4M of visible liquidity (0.18× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1588h with open resolution ambiguity.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1588.3h
- 19:42SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 1588h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NBA Finals based off the rules of the NBA. The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jul 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not stated explicitly — read the full market rules below.
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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