Short-Palate
0x38ae601f34b3a846a72ca295a45eeed612439548
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$8.50
Total PnL
$-227.24
Realised
$125.77
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will 10-14 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
5889 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
3316 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-39.99
- YES
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
3046 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-24.79
- YES
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10AM ET
2222 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
1171 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-63.13
- YES
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
580 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
147 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$5.24May 16, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$1.03May 16, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.30May 16, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win Eurovision 2026?$2.10May 16, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win Eurovision 2026?$10.50May 16, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?$0.00Mar 24, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?$6.79Mar 22, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?$5.00Mar 22, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$11.17Mar 22, 18:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 22, 00:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 21, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 10-14 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?$1.00Mar 20, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?$3.00Mar 20, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?$3.00Mar 20, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?$5.00Mar 20, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?$4.00Mar 20, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 10-14 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?$3.00Mar 20, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?$4.00Mar 20, 19:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 20, 00:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $9.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 15:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.