Wrong-Thermostat
0x38b8bc1f302143f8577c85db906e946d45085759
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$2.02
Total PnL
$-80.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.11
$-0.89
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 18.1¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
- NO
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?
3009 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
66 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$5.22Jun 11, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$5.27Jun 8, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$5.16Jun 8, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.05Jun 8, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.06Jun 8, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$1.05May 17, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$5.17May 16, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$5.31May 15, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$5.27May 15, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$1.05May 15, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$1.05May 15, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$1.07May 15, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$5.26May 15, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$71.43May 15, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$5.33May 15, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$5.33May 14, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$13.89May 14, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$5.22May 14, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$10.68May 13, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$0.62May 13, 17:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $4.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 12:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 10:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.