0x38d270eae3f58610f4bc00e8f78c2d5d20bc4d20
0x38d270eae3f58610f4bc00e8f78c2d5d20bc4d20
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$36.23
Total PnL
$-5.65
Realised
$0.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
12 shares @ 52.5¢·now 50.5¢·exp Oct 24, 2027$6.29
$-0.25
- YES
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
193 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$3.95
$-0.29
- YES
Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.22
$0.04
- YES
Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Sep 8, 2026$2.18
$-0.00
- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
4 shares @ 52.5¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.03
$-0.17
- YES
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.40
$0.31
- NO
Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Nov 5, 2026$1.17
$0.08
- NO
Will Cícero Lucena win the Governor of Paraíba election?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$1.12
$0.24
- NO
Will Dr. Luizinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$1.12
$0.05
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 23.3¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.09
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Souza win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?$1.09Jun 13, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?$1.12Jun 13, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ceciliano win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?$1.09Jun 13, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$1.11Jun 13, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cícero Lucena win the Governor of Paraíba election?$0.05Jun 13, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?$1.09Jun 13, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?$1.09Jun 13, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$1.10Jun 13, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cícero Lucena win the Governor of Paraíba election?$0.10Jun 13, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cícero Lucena win the Governor of Paraíba election?$0.04Jun 13, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Sullivan vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?$1.11Jun 13, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sudan make Eric Adams a citizen?$1.12Jun 13, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYCDOriente Petrolero to score first vs. CA Nacional Potosí?$1.09Jun 13, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.12Jun 13, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$1.11Jun 13, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$1.11Jun 13, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$1.11Jun 13, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Veneziano Vital do Rêgo win the Governor of Paraíba election?$1.09Jun 13, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dr. Luizinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?$0.02Jun 13, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Garotinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?$1.09Jun 13, 13:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 05:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 23:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.