Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?
Probability
73¢
1h
+2.5pp
24h
-3.5pp
24h Vol
$7.79
Liquidity
$5.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
-6.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 3260.8h
- 03:12SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 3261h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 66¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 67¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 69¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 78¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 78¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 59¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 65¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 77¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 77¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 68¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.5pp
to 77¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 75¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 72¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 73¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 73¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 73¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 73¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 72¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 72¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 74¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 69¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 76¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 74¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 76¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 76¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 76¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 76¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 76¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Sep 8, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (16.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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