Cumbersome-Porch
0x38db4b56dbbf15ff30a140ae4b293fd7bd773e6d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$154.30
Total PnL
$-1.28
Realised
$1.16
Win rate
100%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
45 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$44.95
$0.04
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
35 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$34.70
$0.10
- NO
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?
18 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$18.10
$0.15
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.28
$0.28
- YES
Will Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$3.23
$0.23
- YES
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
3 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.22
$0.01
- YES
Will Inter finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
3 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$3.07
$0.07
- YES
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.20
$0.20
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
2 shares @ 91.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$2.20
$0.20
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: M80 vs Zomblers (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship North American Playoffs$1.11May 4, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$4.99May 4, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$4.99May 4, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$4.99May 4, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$4.99May 4, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$4.99May 4, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$4.99May 4, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$4.99May 4, 06:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $4.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 22:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.