0x38ee689b0d405ea7a3e7e97a7d385daf57980c1c
0x38ee689b0d405ea7a3e7e97a7d385daf57980c1c
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$250.59
Total PnL
$-471.50
Realised
$-196.44
Win rate
0%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
154 shares @ 6.5¢·now 50.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$77.00
$67.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$55.56
$45.56
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
76 shares @ 10.3¢·now 50.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$38.21
$30.36
- NO
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
101 shares @ 40.2¢·now 29.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$29.87
$-10.85
- YES
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
27 shares @ 71.1¢·now 70.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$19.34
$-0.16
- BALTIMORE ORIOLES
Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$9.90
$-0.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
14 shares @ 69.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$7.00
$-2.66
- NO
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
6 shares @ 71.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$4.50
$0.00
- NO
Will Team Falcons Win The International 2026?
3 shares @ 91.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.00
$0.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 5PM ET
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$2.27
$0.27
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$33.33Aug 11, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNational Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Ben Shelton$1.54Aug 11, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNational Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Ben Shelton$1.54Aug 11, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNational Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Ben Shelton$1.54Aug 11, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$5.33Aug 11, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$9.87Aug 11, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$15.58Aug 11, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$5.00Aug 11, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$5.50Aug 11, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNational Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Ben Shelton$1.54Aug 11, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$1.18Aug 11, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNational Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Ben Shelton$1.54Aug 11, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$0.95Aug 11, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.18Aug 11, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.16Aug 11, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 5PM ET$2.08Aug 11, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$10.26Aug 11, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - August 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$11.70Aug 11, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$5.20Aug 11, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$10.65Aug 11, 21:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 31 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
31 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $15.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 16:57 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 22:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.