Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
Probability
15¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$60.00
Liquidity
$17.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+2.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 2579.8h
- 12:12SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 2580h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 15¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 15¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 16¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 14¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Aug 11, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).