Phony-Soulmate
0x38fe6ca14dbbac73900749657af38be5fe3f4c18
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$22.7K
Total PnL
$828.77
Realised
$258.10
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
11970 shares @ 92.9¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.6K
$473.74
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
2893 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.8K
$59.31
- YES
Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
2660 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 20, 2026$2.7K
$22.89
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
1785 shares @ 91.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.7K
$11.07
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
1500 shares @ 91.3¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.4K
$47.50
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
1431 shares @ 90.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.3K
$38.31
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
500 shares @ 89.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$457.50
$12.50
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
500 shares @ 85.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$432.49
$7.50
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
606 shares @ 23.8¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$142.45
$-2.00
- YES
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?
279 shares @ 50.3¢·now 30.5¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$85.19
$-55.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill gemini-3.1-pro-preview have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?$226.416h ago
- REDEEMWill claude-opus-4-7-thinking have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?$2.5K7h ago
- REDEEMWill any other model have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?$10.007h ago
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$523.5623h ago
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$255.001d ago
- MAKER_REBATE$1.591d ago
- REWARD$6.071d ago
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$183.001d ago
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$56.661d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$510.001d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$450.001d ago
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$113.331d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?$455.001d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$500.001d ago
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by May 8?$281.401d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$469.651d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.351d ago
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$176.001d ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 8?$270.001d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$234.261d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $386.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 6h ago
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
