Insignificant-Bidder
0x3910a6e654fce7392089a9e13e02e176df3fa1a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$3.09
Total PnL
$-47.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.13
$-0.00
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.02
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 8?
5408 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.82
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on February 9?
1125 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.38
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on March 17?
1111 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.22
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 22?
1110 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.33
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $80,000 on April 15?
1088 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on March 5?
1087 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on February 2?
1083 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 26?
1077 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.56Jun 5, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.08Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$2.13Jun 2, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.20Jun 2, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.01Jun 2, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on June 1?$2.10Jun 1, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on May 23?$2.08May 23, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.00May 21, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 14?$2.11May 14, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$2.26May 6, 02:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$3.32May 6, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.20May 6, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?$2.13May 5, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 26?$2.15Apr 26, 01:21 UTC
- REWARD$0.21Apr 23, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $80,000 on April 15?$2.18Apr 15, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$3.31Apr 14, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$2.23Apr 10, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on April 8?$1.1KApr 9, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on April 8?$1.1KApr 8, 01:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $394.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 00:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".