Complex-Stupidity
0x39155ae0e9877c407fc1e1137544f104379f575c
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$3.09
Total PnL
$-64.36
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.24
$-0.00
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.85
$-0.06
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on January 5?
5382 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.38
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 6?
4200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on February 8?
1115 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-7.80
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 21?
1089 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 4?
1085 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.26
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 14?
1084 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.90 on February 15?
1083 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on April 5?
1080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.71Jun 4, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.90Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.11Jun 2, 01:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.11Jun 2, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$2.24Jun 2, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 31?$2.12May 30, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 22?$2.07May 22, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.10May 21, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 13?$2.11May 13, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.11May 6, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on May 4?$2.12May 4, 01:15 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$2.35May 4, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$3.47May 4, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on April 23?$2.15Apr 23, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$3.46Apr 15, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 14?$2.17Apr 14, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$2.32Apr 6, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on April 5?$2.16Apr 5, 00:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,700 on March 28?$1.1KMar 29, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,700 on March 28?$1.1KMar 28, 01:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $366.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 02:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".